Labels: Brian Pallister, Greg Selinger, Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba NDP, Manitoba politics, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba, Rana Bokhari

Winnipeg – Manitoba’s political scene appears to be stabilizing, as the Progressive Conservative Party consolidates its lead over the governing New Democratic Party and the third-place Liberals continue to pick up support from disgruntled ex-NDP supporters.

View full release

Labels: Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba NDP, Manitoba politics, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba

Winnipeg – A majority of Manitoba adults support the right of patients who are terminally ill or who have severe disabilities to end their own lives, a new survey of 1,010 Manitobans conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press reveals.

Manitobans were asked to weigh in on whether they support euthanasia in principle and whether or not they support Manitoba following Quebec’s lead and introducing legislation which would allow physicians to help people with terminal illnesses or severe disabilities end their own lives.

View full release

Labels: euthanasia, Manitoba politics, Probe Research, Winnipeg Free Press

Labels: Canada Day, federal politics, Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba NDP, Manitoba politics, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party

Labels: Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba NDP, Manitoba politics, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba

Winnipeg – Manitoba’s governing New Democrats are slipping further behind as the Progressive Conservative Party consolidates its position as the most popular party in Manitoba.

A new Probe Research Inc. survey conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press shows that the NDP and PCs are now tied in Winnipeg while the PCs continue to hold a double-digit advantage outside the provincial capital. This telephone survey of 1,001 Manitoba adults was conducted between April 2 and April 14, 2013 – just prior to the release of the April 16th provincial budget.

View full release

Labels: Green Party of Manitoba, Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba NDP, Manitoba politics, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba

Winnipeg, Manitoba - A new Probe Research/Winnipeg Free Press survey shows Premier Greg Selinger continues to receive a solid nod of approval from Manitobans for his performance in office, while newly acclaimed Progressive Conservative leader Brian Pallister has yet to be recognized by many voters.

A majority of Manitoba adults (50%) approve of the performance of Mr. Selinger,  with three-in-ten (29%) disapproving of Mr. Selinger’s performance and 21 percent who were either unwilling or unable to comment on Mr. Selinger’s work in the province’s highest political office.

Mr. Pallister - who was recently acclaimed as the new leader of the PC party - received job approval ratings of only 33 percent (compared to 19% who disapproved of his job performance), with nearly one-half of Manitoba adults (48%) indicating they were either unfamiliar with Mr. Pallister or felt they needed more time to fully assess his performance.


View full release

Labels: Brian Pallister, Greg Selinger, Jon Gerrard, Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba NDP, Manitoba politics, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba

Winnipeg, Manitoba - Probe Research's groundbreaking results on Aboriginal voting intentions in Manitoba are the subject of a new APTN Investigates documentary, The Politics of Being Aboriginal.

This documentary explored voting intention results among First Nations and Métis citizens of Manitoba, including their political party preferences at the provincial and federal level. This documentary also explores the relationship between Aboriginal party preference and voting behaviour.

To watch this three-part documentary, follow the links below:

http://aptn.ca/pages/news/2012/10/22/the-politics-of-being-aboriginal/

http://aptn.ca/pages/news/2012/10/22/the-politics-of-being-aboriginal-part-ii/

http://aptn.ca/pages/news/2012/10/22/the-politics-of-being-aboriginal-part-iii/

Click here to see the detailed research results and the methodology.

Labels: Aboriginal voting patterns, APTN Investigates, Manitoba politics, Probe Research

Winnipeg - In the absence of new leaders or a dynamic provincial political scene, Manitoba voters would essentially vote the same way as they did in the October 2011 election if they had to do it all over again, suggests a Probe Research Inc. telephone survey of 1,002 Manitoba adults.

The survey, undertaken exclusively for the Winnipeg Free Press, shows that voting intentions are essentially the same now as they were when Manitobans voted nine months ago, with the NDP narrowly leading at 44 percent (versus 47% in the election), the PCs close behind at 40 percent (versus 43% in the election) and the Liberals a distant third at 13 percent (versus 8% in the election). The differences between these findings and the results of the 2011 election are almost all within the survey's margin-of-error.

View full release

Labels: Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba politics, NDP, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party

Winnipeg – Even in the absence of a new leader (or very many candidates vying to replace the outgoing party boss) and without a chance of forming government for another three-and-a-half years, Manitoba’s Progressive Conservative party has managed to leapfrog the governing New Democratic Party and become the top choice of decided Manitoba voters. This is according to a Probe Research telephone survey of 1,000 Manitoba adults conducted exclusively for the Winnipeg Free Press.

Six months after the NDP won a fourth majority government, the PCs have edged slightly higher in popular support, from 43 percent in the 2011 election to 45 percent today (+2%). Support for the NDP, meanwhile, has dropped significantly – from 47 percent when ballots were cast last October to just 40 percent in this current sounding (-7%). Support for the Liberal Party (+2%, from 8% to 10%) and other parties (5%, up from 3%) has remained essentially stable since last fall’s provincial election. Overall, one-in-four voters (25%) are undecided or refuse to say which party they would support in a hypothetical election.

View full release

Labels: Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba politics, NDP, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party

Winnipeg – As the starting gun sounds on the 2011 federal election campaign, the Conservative Party enters the race well ahead of its rivals in Manitoba, a Probe Research Inc. March telephone survey of 1,000 Manitoba adults conducted exclusively for the Winnipeg Free Press reveals. The party’s big lead, however, is mostly based on its dominance in its rural Manitoba stronghold. Within Winnipeg, it is a substantially closer race.

View full release.

Labels: 2011 federal election, Conservative Party, Green Party, Liberal Party, Manitoba politics, NDP, Probe Research

Winnipeg – Political parties broadcast television ads which criticize their opponents because they are seen to be effective. But a Probe Research survey of 1,001 Manitobans conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press suggests that the first salvo fired by the NDP against Progressive Conservative leader Hugh McFadyen may have backfired on the New Democrats, as those who recall the NDP‟s “Know Hugh” ad campaign are more likely to have a better opinion of the Progressive Conservatives than those who did not see these ads.

Voters were asked if they had recently seen, read or heard any advertisements about Progressive Conservative leader Hugh McFadyen. Slightly more than one-half (57%) said they had seen these ads, which were broadcast on local television stations and on the Internet as well as complemented by direct mail and social media campaigns. More than one-third (37%) had not seen the ads and an additional six percent were unsure whether they had seen them or not. None of these survey respondents had been exposed to the more recent ads by the Progressive Conservatives that feature Hugh McFadyen rebutting NDP criticisms of his previous policy statements...

Interestingly, those who recalled these advertisements critical of PC leader Hugh McFadyen were more likely to have a higher opinion of the Progressive Conservative party today than those who did not recall these ads (17%, versus 7% respectively). There is virtually no difference in the proportion of voters who say their view of the PCs has declined when looking at those familiar and unfamiliar with the anti-McFadyen ads (17%, versus 15% respectively). However, those who were aware of the ad were more likely to have a more-negative impression of the NDP today than those who did not see the ad (35%, versus 19% respectively).

View full release

Labels: 2011 Manitoba Election, Hugh McFadyen, Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba politics, NDP, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party

Winnipeg – Manitoba’s Progressive Conservatives have opened up a slight lead over the governing New Democrats, but the race between the two major parties remains very close, a new Probe Research Inc. telephone survey conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press reveals.

With ten months to go until Manitobans head to the polls, the Progressive Conservatives continue to be favoured by more than four-in-ten decided adult voters (42%, unchanged from September). Support for the NDP has decreased slightly since September (from 40% to 38%), while there has been a slight uptick in the proportion of adult citizens would cast ballots for the Manitoba Liberals (15%, +2% versus September).

Nearly one-half of those surveyed (49%) also believe it’s time for a new government in Manitoba, while one-third (34%) said the NDP should be re-elected to a fourth term. Fewer than one-in-five (17%) did not indicate a particular preference regarding which party should come into power following the next provincial election.

View full release

Labels: 2011 Manitoba Election, Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba politics, NDP, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party

Winnipeg – Federal Conservatives and Liberals in Manitoba have reason to cheer while New Democrats and Greens might be licking their wounds after a new Probe Research Inc. poll for the Winnipeg Free Press shows the Conservatives and Liberals have recovered from a slump in voter support in the Keystone Province.

The governing Conservatives continue to enjoy a large lead over their rivals in Manitoba, with nearly one-half of voters (47%) now indicating they would cast ballots for Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s party. As the graph on the following page shows, Conservative support has increased by three percentage points in the past three months (from 44% in June to 47%). Meanwhile, Michael Ignatieff’s Liberals have leapfrogged the NDP into second place, climbing to 25 percent support in Manitoba (up from 21% in June).

View full release

Labels: Conservative Party, federal politics, Green Party, Liberal Party, Manitoba politics, NDP, Probe Research

Winnipeg – Exactly 12 months out from Manitoba’s first-ever fixed-date provincial election, the race between the province’s two major political parties continues to be tight, a new poll conducted exclusively for the Winnipeg Free Press by Probe Research Inc. reveals.

For the second straight quarter, the governing New Democratic Party and the opposition Progressive Conservatives remain statistically tied, with the PCs now sitting at 42 percent (up slightly from 40% in June) while the NDP now have the support of 40 percent of Manitoba’s decided voters (down slightly from 41% in June). As the graph on the following page illustrates, the PCs are ahead of the NDP for the first time since December 2008 – however, their lead is within the poll’s margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent.

Download full release

Labels: Greg Selinger, Hugh McFadyen, Jon Gerrard, Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba politics, NDP, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party

Winnipeg – Greg Selinger has a long way to go before he can reach the same levels of popularity as his predecessor, Gary Doer, but the Manitoba premier and NDP leader is the most popular provincial party leader in the province, according to a new Probe Research poll conducted exclusively for the Winnipeg Free Press.

Download full release.

Labels: Greg Selinger, Hugh McFadyen, Jon Gerrard, Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba politics, NDP, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party

Winnipeg – The opposition Progressive Conservative Party has all but erased the long-term advantage in voter support enjoyed by the governing New Democrats and is statistically tied with the NDP for the support of Manitoba voters, a new province-wide Probe Research poll conducted exclusively for the Winnipeg Free Press finds.

Download full release

Labels: Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba politics, NDP, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party

Winnipeg – A survey of Manitoba’s Aboriginal voters reveals that indigenous people within the province overwhelmingly prefer the New Democratic Party at the provincial level, but spread their support more evenly when voting in federal elections.

These findings, taken from quarterly surveys by Probe Research Inc. for its Indigenous Voices syndicated study, reveal that when casting ballots in provincial elections, nearly six-in-ten Aboriginal Manitobans (57%) back the governing New Democrats. One-in-five Aboriginal voters (21%) expressed support for the provincial Liberal Party, while fewer than one-in-five (17%)indicated they would cast ballots for the Progressive Conservative Party. Fifteen percent of surveyed Aboriginal adults were unable or unwilling to name a preferred provincial party.

Download full release.

Labels: Aboriginal voting patterns, Conservative Party, Liberal Party, Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba politics, NDP, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party

Winnipeg – Premier Gary Doer’s sudden retirement as leader of the Manitoba New Democratic Party has not affected the party’s popularity with Manitoba voters, a new Probe Research Inc./Winnipeg Free Press survey finds.

The provincial New Democrats remain the most popular party in the province, with 45 percent of Manitobans stating they would vote for the NDP in a hypothetical provincial election. For the NDP, which will choose a new leader October 17, this represents no change since the last sounding conducted in June 2009.

With the support of 38 percent of decided voters, the Hugh McFadyen-led PCs have increased their popularity by two percentage points and have shrunk the NDP’s advantage from eight percentage points to seven. The Liberals, meanwhile, remain far behind both parties, with just 12 percent of decided voters backing the party led by Jon Gerrard (-2% from June). Four percent of respondents would back other parties not represented in the Legislature, while 15 percent of voters were undecided.

Download full release.

Labels: Gary Doer, Hugh McFadyen, Jon Gerrard, Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba politics, NDP, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party

Winnipeg, Manitoba – After nearly 10 years as premier, Gary Doer’s leadership continues to win praise from two-thirds of Manitoba adults, double the approval ratings given to Progressive Conservative leader Hugh McFadyen or Liberal leader Jon Gerrard. As well, the NDP now holds a ten-point lead in voter support, largely based on strong support from Winnipeg voters. Probe Research conducted this most recent random and representative sampling of 1,000 Manitoba adults for the Winnipeg Free Press between March 9th and March 25th, 2009.

Download Full Release

Labels: Gary Doer, Hugh McFadyen, Jon Gerrard, Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba politics, NDP, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party