Probe Research Inc. - Recent Polls

Thursday, October 09, 2014

September 2014 Manitoba Party Standings

Winnipeg – A new Probe Research survey conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press and CTV Winnipeg shows the Manitoba Progressive Conservative party with a comfortable 12-point advantage over the governing New Democrats.

The Progressive Conservatives currently have the support of 42 percent of decided Manitoba voters, down slightly from the level of support the party recorded in June (-3%). Three-in-ten decided voters, meanwhile, would cast a ballot for the New Democratic Party in a hypothetical general election (30%, down from 32% in June). One-in-five voters (20%) now prefer the provincial Liberals – which marks a slight increase (+4%) since the last Probe Research survey in June. Eight percent of decided voters would cast a ballot for the Green Party or other parties not represented in the Legislature.

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Labels: Brian Pallister, Greg Selinger, Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba NDP, Manitoba politics, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba, Rana Bokhari

Saturday, April 05, 2014

Progressive Conservatives Maintain Lead (April 2014 Party Standings)

Winnipeg – Manitoba’s political scene appears to be stabilizing, as the Progressive Conservative Party consolidates its lead over the governing New Democratic Party and the third-place Liberals continue to pick up support from disgruntled ex-NDP supporters.

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Labels: Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba NDP, Manitoba politics, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba

Friday, December 27, 2013

NDP Support Hits New Low (Dec. 2013 Manitoba Party Standings)

Winnipeg – The latest Probe Research survey conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press reveals that nearly one-half of Manitobans presently support the Brian Pallister-led Progressive Conservative Party (48%, up from 43% in September).

The proportion of Manitobans who would cast a ballot for Premier Greg Selinger’s NDP, meanwhile, decreased from 29 percent in September to 26 percent. Support for the Manitoba Liberals, who are now led by Rana Bokhari, is unchanged at 20 percent. Six percent of those surveyed would cast a ballot for the provincial Greens or another party not represented in the Legislature.

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Labels: Brian Pallister, Greg Selinger, Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba NDP, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba, Rana Bokhari

Wednesday, June 26, 2013

Manitoba NDP Reaches New Low In Voter Support

Winnipeg – After an acrimonious spring session in the Manitoba Legislature, a new survey by Probe Research Inc. for the Winnipeg Free Press shows the province’s governing New Democratic Party is growing increasingly unpopular with Manitobans as support for the opposition Progressive Conservatives continues to increase.

Province-wide, 46 percent of Manitobans report that they would cast a ballot for a Progressive Conservative candidate in a hypothetical provincial election, up four points from 42 percent in April. Fewer than three-in-ten decided voters, on the other hand, would now back a NDP candidate (28%, -7% versus April). This is the lowest level of support for the NDP that has ever been recorded in a Probe Research-Winnipeg Free Press Manitoba Omnibus survey, which has been conducted quarterly since 1997.

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Labels: Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba NDP, Manitoba politics, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba

Wednesday, April 24, 2013

April 2013 Manitoba Party Standings - NDP Support Erodes

Winnipeg – Manitoba’s governing New Democrats are slipping further behind as the Progressive Conservative Party consolidates its position as the most popular party in Manitoba.

A new Probe Research Inc. survey conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press shows that the NDP and PCs are now tied in Winnipeg while the PCs continue to hold a double-digit advantage outside the provincial capital. This telephone survey of 1,001 Manitoba adults was conducted between April 2 and April 14, 2013 – just prior to the release of the April 16th provincial budget.

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Labels: Green Party of Manitoba, Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba NDP, Manitoba politics, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba

Thursday, December 27, 2012

Dec. 2012 Provincial Party Standings - Progressive Conservatives Take The Lead

Winnipeg – For the first time since winning a historic fourth term in October 2011, Manitoba’s governing New Democratic Party is no longer the first-choice for Manitoba voters, a new Probe Research survey conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press shows.

The Progressive Conservative Party, with new leader Brian Pallister, has taken a slight lead over Premier Greg Selinger’s NDP, with 43 percent of decided voters currently indicating that they would vote for a PC candidate in a hypothetical election (up from 38% in September). Support for the NDP, meanwhile, has dropped in the past three months (from 45% in September to 39% in this current sounding). Liberal support remains unchanged at 11 percent, while seven percent of those surveyed would cast a ballot for a party not represented in the Legislature.

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Labels: Brian Pallister, Greg Selinger, Jon Gerrard, Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba NDP, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba

Thursday, October 25, 2012

Selinger, NDP Maintain Their Popularity; New PC Leader Pallister Still Unknown

Winnipeg, Manitoba - A new Probe Research/Winnipeg Free Press survey shows Premier Greg Selinger continues to receive a solid nod of approval from Manitobans for his performance in office, while newly acclaimed Progressive Conservative leader Brian Pallister has yet to be recognized by many voters.

A majority of Manitoba adults (50%) approve of the performance of Mr. Selinger, with three-in-ten (29%) disapproving of Mr. Selinger’s performance and 21 percent who were either unwilling or unable to comment on Mr. Selinger’s work in the province’s highest political office.

Mr. Pallister - who was recently acclaimed as the new leader of the PC party - received job approval ratings of only 33 percent (compared to 19% who disapproved of his job performance), with nearly one-half of Manitoba adults (48%) indicating they were either unfamiliar with Mr. Pallister or felt they needed more time to fully assess his performance.

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Labels: Brian Pallister, Greg Selinger, Jon Gerrard, Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba NDP, Manitoba politics, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba

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