Probe Research Inc. - Recent Polls

Thursday, October 10, 2013

Federal Liberal Fortunes Rebound in Manitoba

Winnipeg – More than two years after their worst-ever showing in a federal election, the Liberal Party of Canada’s support in Manitoba - and more specifically, in Winnipeg - has substantially recovered, a new Probe Research Inc. survey shows.

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Tuesday, October 08, 2013

Ex-NDP Supporters Are Up For Grabs

Winnipeg – At this time two years ago, 46 percent of Manitoba voters cast ballots for Premier Greg Selinger’s New Democratic Party. During the past 24 months, support for the NDP has plummeted to near-historic lows as the opposition Progressive Conservatives vaulted into first place and the long-moribund Liberal Party surged to double-digit levels of support.

These shifting dynamics of voter support since the 2011 election are highlighted in the results of a new Probe Research survey provided exclusively to the Winnipeg Free Press. This survey shows that ex-NDP voters have migrated in different directions since the 2011 vote, with near-equal proportions joining the PC or Liberal camps. A significant proportion of these former NDP supporters (10%), however, remain up for grabs as they are officially undecided.

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Monday, October 07, 2013

Manitoba Political Party Standings Stabilize

Winnipeg – The latest Probe Research Inc. survey results for the Winnipeg Free Press show that Manitoba’s political scene has stabilized after nearly a year of significant shifts in voter support for the main provincial parties.

With 43 percent of Manitoba voters (-3% versus June 2013) saying that they would vote for the Progressive Conservatives, the Brian Pallister-led PCs continue to enjoy a commanding lead over the Greg Selinger-led NDP, which has the support of slightly less than three-in-ten decided voters (29%, +1% versus June).

Meanwhile, the Liberal Party – which is currently in the middle of a three-way leadership contest – continues to build momentum and now have the support of one-in-five decided voters (20%, +3% versus June and up by 13% over their 2011 election performance). The Greens and other parties currently sit at eight percent support (-2% versus June). Thirteen percent of all Manitoba adults are undecided or refuse to say which party they would vote for in a hypothetical provincial election.

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Monday, October 07, 2013

Manitobans Say Poor Fiscal Management At Root Of PST Hike

Winnipeg – Nearly two-thirds of Manitoba adults (65%) believe the provincial government did not need to raise the Provincial Sales Tax (PST), a new Probe Research survey conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press finds.

This survey of 1,002 Manitoba adults also finds that a majority of Manitobans (58%) agree that the decision to increase the PST is likely to have an impact on how they vote in the next provincial election – with most saying the tax hike makes them less likely to vote for the governing New Democrats.

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Saturday, June 29, 2013

Political Preferences And Pride in Canada

Winnipeg – The level of patriotism expressed by Manitobans depends greatly on which political party they intend to support, a new Probe Research survey conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press reveals.

Manitobans who support the provincial New Democrats or Manitoba Liberals were more likely than Progressive Conservative party supporters to report that they are less proud of Canada as they were five years ago (39% and 29% respectively, versus just 15% of PC supporters who say they are no longer as proud of Canada as they were in the past). These PC party supporters, on the other hand, were more likely to report that they are just as proud of Canada today as they were five years ago (52%, versus 39% among NDP supporters and 38% among Liberal supporters).

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Labels: Canada Day, federal politics, Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba NDP, Manitoba politics, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party

Wednesday, June 26, 2013

Manitoba NDP Reaches New Low In Voter Support

Winnipeg – After an acrimonious spring session in the Manitoba Legislature, a new survey by Probe Research Inc. for the Winnipeg Free Press shows the province’s governing New Democratic Party is growing increasingly unpopular with Manitobans as support for the opposition Progressive Conservatives continues to increase.

Province-wide, 46 percent of Manitobans report that they would cast a ballot for a Progressive Conservative candidate in a hypothetical provincial election, up four points from 42 percent in April. Fewer than three-in-ten decided voters, on the other hand, would now back a NDP candidate (28%, -7% versus April). This is the lowest level of support for the NDP that has ever been recorded in a Probe Research-Winnipeg Free Press Manitoba Omnibus survey, which has been conducted quarterly since 1997.

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Labels: Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba NDP, Manitoba politics, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba

Monday, April 29, 2013

Manitobans Support Proposed Pesticide Ban

Winnipeg – Although most Manitobans may not be giving their lawns or gardens much thought during this “spring that never was”, a new survey for the Winnipeg Free Press shows that a majority of citizens support the idea of phasing out cosmetic pesticide use on lawns and gardens.

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Labels: pesticides, Probe Research, Winnipeg Free Press

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Recent Polls

Federal Liberal Fortunes Rebound in Manitoba

Ex-NDP Supporters Are Up For Grabs

Manitoba Political Party Standings Stabilize

Manitobans Say Poor Fiscal Management At Root Of PST Hike

Political Preferences And Pride in Canada

Manitoba NDP Reaches New Low In Voter Support

Manitobans Support Proposed Pesticide Ban