Winnipeg - In the absence of new leaders or a dynamic provincial political scene, Manitoba voters would essentially vote the same way as they did in the October 2011 election if they had to do it all over again, suggests a Probe Research Inc. telephone survey of 1,002 Manitoba adults.

The survey, undertaken exclusively for the Winnipeg Free Press, shows that voting intentions are essentially the same now as they were when Manitobans voted nine months ago, with the NDP narrowly leading at 44 percent (versus 47% in the election), the PCs close behind at 40 percent (versus 43% in the election) and the Liberals a distant third at 13 percent (versus 8% in the election). The differences between these findings and the results of the 2011 election are almost all within the survey's margin-of-error.

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Labels: Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba politics, NDP, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party