Saturday, July 04, 2015
Orange Wave Not Cresting In Manitoba (June 2015 Federal Party Standings)
Winnipeg - Thomas Mulcair and the federal New Democratic Party may be making gains in other parts of Canada, but a new Probe Research Inc. survey conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press shows that Manitoba voters are not riding the orange wave.
Currently, less than one-quarter of decided Manitoba voters (23%) say they would cast ballots for a federal NDP candidate. Current NDP support is slightly lower than it was in the 2011 election, when one-quarter of voters (26%) backed the New Democrats.
Stephen Harper’s Conservative Party remains the most popular federal party in Manitoba, with 43 percent of decided voters indicating they plan to cast ballots for Conservative candidates. Although Conservative support in the province is significantly lower than it was in the 2011 federal election, the proportion of voters who prefer the current governing party has remained remarkably stable in Probe Research surveys conducted during the past two years.
Three-in-ten Manitoba voters, meanwhile, would vote for the Justin Trudeau-led Liberals (29%). Liberal support has decreased slightly since the last sounding taken in September 2013 (-3%). However, Liberal support in Manitoba remains significantly higher than it was in the 2011 election, when just 17 percent of Manitobans cast ballots for federal Liberal candidates.
Five percent of those surveyed, meanwhile, currently prefer Elizabeth May’s Green Party (+1% versus the last election). Fifteen percent of Manitoba adults were undecided or refused to say which federal party they plan to vote for.
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