Probe Research Inc. - Recent Polls

Thursday, October 09, 2014

September 2014 Manitoba Party Standings

Winnipeg – A new Probe Research survey conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press and CTV Winnipeg shows the Manitoba Progressive Conservative party with a comfortable 12-point advantage over the governing New Democrats.

The Progressive Conservatives currently have the support of 42 percent of decided Manitoba voters, down slightly from the level of support the party recorded in June (-3%). Three-in-ten decided voters, meanwhile, would cast a ballot for the New Democratic Party in a hypothetical general election (30%, down from 32% in June). One-in-five voters (20%) now prefer the provincial Liberals – which marks a slight increase (+4%) since the last Probe Research survey in June. Eight percent of decided voters would cast a ballot for the Green Party or other parties not represented in the Legislature.

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Labels: Brian Pallister, Greg Selinger, Manitoba Liberal Party, Manitoba NDP, Manitoba politics, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba, Rana Bokhari

Tuesday, October 07, 2014

Some Hopeful, Others Cynical About Next Winnipeg City Council

Winnipeg – Some elections bring expectations of major change, with voters likely to cast out the old and elect new, fresh faces. A Winnipeg Free Press-CTV Winnipeg survey conducted by Probe Research Inc. reveals that while Winnipeggers are split on whether Winnipeg City Council will be transformed after the election on October 22, they do not have a great appetite for removing incumbent councillors.

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Tuesday, October 07, 2014

Winnipeg Is A Divided City, Citizens Say

Winnipeg – Throughout its history, Winnipeg has been divided geographically by rivers and rail lines. But a new Winnipeg Free Press/CTV Winnipeg survey conducted by Probe Research Inc. shows that most Winnipeggers believe there is also a deep racial gulf between Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal citizens – and this this is indeed a serious problem for the city.

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Monday, October 06, 2014

Majority of Winnipeggers Will Not Come Downtown After Dark

Winnipeg – A new Winnipeg Free Press-CTV Winnipeg survey conducted by Probe Research Inc. shows that the majority of Winnipeg adults are not comfortable walking downtown after nightfall. Citizens are split, meanwhile, on whether they would be more likely to come to the centre of the city if there were fewer panhandlers in the area.

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Monday, October 06, 2014

Winnipeggers Are Open To Tax Increases

Winnipeg – There is an old saying is that the only guarantees in life are death and taxes. A new Winnipeg Free Press-CTV Winnipeg survey conducted by Probe Research Inc. reveals that a majority of Winnipeggers agree that municipal tax increases must rise to maintain city services.

This survey of 602 Winnipeg adults, conducted between September 18 and October 1, shows that nearly two-thirds of Winnipeggers agree that property tax increases are “inevitable” in order to maintain basic services (64%, including 30% who strongly agree and 34% who moderately disagree). One-third of those surveyed, on the other hand, believe that the city can maintain its core services without tax increases (34%, including 20% who strongly disagree and 14% who moderately disagree). Two percent of those surveyed were unsure or did not respond.

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Labels: 2014 Winnipeg civic election, infrastructure, Probe Research, property taxes

Friday, October 03, 2014

Wasylycia-Leis Still Leads Winnipeg Mayoral Race

Winnipeg – With three weeks remaining until Winnipeggers cast ballots in the municipal election, Judy Wasylycia-Leis is poised to become Winnipeg’s mayor, a new Winnipeg Free Press-CTV Winnipeg survey conducted by Probe Research Inc. shows.

Ms. Wasylycia-Leis, who has been the clear frontrunner in previous Probe Research Inc. surveys, currently has the support of more than four-in-ten decided voters (41%). First-time candidate Brian Bowman has pulled ahead of other challenges to establish himself in second place – but with 23 percent support, he continues to trail Ms. Wasylycia-Leis by a significant margin as the campaign draws to a close. Former St. Vital councillor Gord Steeves is now well back of these two front-runners with the backing of only 16 percent of the civic electorate.

The four remaining candidates are all in the single-digit range of support: Robert-Falcon Ouellette (9%), David Sanders (5%), Paula Havixbeck (4%) and Michel Fillion (2%).

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Labels: 2014 Winnipeg civic election, Brian Bowman, David Sanders, Gord Steeves, Judy Wasylycia-Leis, Michel Fillion, Paula Havixbeck, Probe Research, Robert-Falcon Ouellette

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Recent Polls

September 2014 Manitoba Party Standings

Some Hopeful, Others Cynical About Next Winnipeg City Council

Winnipeg Is A Divided City, Citizens Say

Majority of Winnipeggers Will Not Come Downtown After Dark

Winnipeggers Are Open To Tax Increases

Wasylycia-Leis Still Leads Winnipeg Mayoral Race