Sunday, March 27, 2011
It's 1998 All Over Again (March 2011 Provincial Standings)
Winnipeg – The last time Manitoba’s Progressive Conservatives enjoyed the support of nearly half the Manitoba electorate, Gary Filmon was still premier, U.S. President Bill Clinton was being impeached for having an affair with a White House intern and the movie Titanic was shattering records at the box office.
More than a decade later, the latest Probe Research Inc. quarterly survey reveals that support for the Progressive Conservative Party has soared, as 47 percent of decided voters now say they would cast ballots for this party. This survey also reveals that those who would cast ballots for the Progressive Conservatives are among the most committed voters, with fully six-in-ten indicating they are very likely to cast ballots for the PCs in the Oct. 4 provincial election (60%, versus 49% of NDP supporters and only 24% among Liberal supporters).
Other highlights of the survey include:
- Despite recording their biggest lead province-wide, the PCs are slightly behind the NDP in Winnipeg, where the New Democrats currently hold 26 of 31 seats (37% of Winnipeg voters would cast ballots for the PCs, versus 42% who support the NDP and 16% who prefer the Liberals).
- Outside Winnipeg, more than six-in-ten voters prefer the PCs (62%, versus 24% for the NDP and 11% for the Liberals)
- Two-thirds of Manitobans think the province is heading in the right direction (65%, versus 21% who think Manitoba is heading down the wrong track). Although PC and Liberal supporters are more likely than those who would vote for the NDP to believe the province is headed in the wrong direction, a majority of these voters still think the province is on the right path.
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More than a decade later, the latest Probe Research Inc. quarterly survey reveals that support for the Progressive Conservative Party has soared, as 47 percent of decided voters now say they would cast ballots for this party. This survey also reveals that those who would cast ballots for the Progressive Conservatives are among the most committed voters, with fully six-in-ten indicating they are very likely to cast ballots for the PCs in the Oct. 4 provincial election (60%, versus 49% of NDP supporters and only 24% among Liberal supporters).
Other highlights of the survey include:
- Despite recording their biggest lead province-wide, the PCs are slightly behind the NDP in Winnipeg, where the New Democrats currently hold 26 of 31 seats (37% of Winnipeg voters would cast ballots for the PCs, versus 42% who support the NDP and 16% who prefer the Liberals).
- Outside Winnipeg, more than six-in-ten voters prefer the PCs (62%, versus 24% for the NDP and 11% for the Liberals)
- Two-thirds of Manitobans think the province is heading in the right direction (65%, versus 21% who think Manitoba is heading down the wrong track). Although PC and Liberal supporters are more likely than those who would vote for the NDP to believe the province is headed in the wrong direction, a majority of these voters still think the province is on the right path.
View full release
Labels: 2011 Manitoba Election, Manitoba Liberal Party, NDP, Probe Research, Progressive Conservative Party